Mendeley
TY  _  JOUR
ID  -  13980128178730
TI  -  Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province)
JO  -  Modiriat-e- farda
JA  -  ES
LA  -  fa
SN  -  2228-6047
AU  -  بابایی میبدی حمید
AU  -  Goodarzi3 Gholamreza 
AU  -  azar adel
AU  -  عزیزی فیروزه
AD  -  
AD  -  دانشگاه امام صادق(ع)، تهران
AD  -  دانشگاه تربيت مدرس
AD  -  
Y1  -  2020
PY  -  2020
VL  -  62
IS  -  
SP  -  180
EP  -  163
KW  -  Foresight
KW  -   System Dynamics
KW  -   Sustainable Development
KW  -   Scenario Planning
DO  -  
N2  -  Nowadays, the wide changes in various dimensions put managers in serious challenges. This issues cause the current plans will no longer be able to response, therefore it is necessary to use new approaches such as foresighting. Meanwhile, one of the main concerns of managers is the effect of their decisions on the key variables. This study using a foresight and systematic approaches and design the dynamic sustainable development model to seeks an answer to this important management issue. First we presented a framework for sustainable development and then, using the “Mic Mac” method identified the key drivers of sustainable development. In the next step, by designing a scenario portfolio, future possible scenarios for sustainable development were determined. Finally, by designing a regional sustainable development model, it is possible to simulate scenarios and decisions, and determine the appropriate scenarios from the possible multi-dimensional scenarios
UR  - rimag.ir/en/Article/26133
L1  - rimag.ir/en/Article/Download/26133
ER  -  
